I made the blue car's owner a take-it-or-leave-it offer below his ask, after @Big_John braved the snow to have a good look at the car for (and very generously shared his expert opinion with) me; it was rejected. I understand that someone else made a higher offer, also below $8k; it was also rejected.
FWIW, I think that the Syracuse car looks good inside and out, the color is great and in demand, and it should make the new owner happy -- assuming (as Dave points out) that he knows what he got.
Attached, for the record, are a few photos of the Syracuse car so that everyone can see why I offered less than the asking price. John found old-style rust repairs with screws in the lower rear quarters, lower body repaint, apparently recurring rust on the door jambs, a cracked dash (not shown), a discolored steering wheel. Taking into account the fact that the car had sat for 12 years (contrary to the text of the initial ad, it had not been started frequently) and thus would need a full mechanical refresh, and the fact that I already have a sister of this car, $8k was too high IMHO. Whoever bought it clearly disagreed with me.
Assuming that the blue car has indeed sold at (or close to) the asking price, then the market has spoken -- and, IMHO, this means that prices have gone up quite a bit for Polara 'verts. Specifically, those recent sales suggest to me that a 1970 Polara ragtop with a 383-2 in #4 condition is now worth about $8k -- which happens to be where Hagerty says the market is (and which, BTW, is up 12.5% from Spring).
To wit, the three cars that emerged from obscurity this Fall all had issues. Yet, the two that sold at auction went for $10k + fees (green one, sold Nov. 10, DL27L0D211393) and $8k (orange one, sold Nov. 14, DL27L0D182194). I understand that the seller of the last car (blue one, apparently sold Dec. 10 or after, DL27L0D151852) was apparently firm at $8k.
Consistent with that observation, recall that a fourth 1970 Polara convertible sold this year -- the ER6 red small-block Pennsylvania car that I bought from its second owner back in March of this year, and for which I willingly paid a non-trivial premium over Hagerty values because it had just 31k actual miles, zero rust, full traceability through the years, a superb interior, and was all original (in contrast, the three "fall cars" all had been partially [FF4, EB7] or completely [FK5] repainted and had some rust).
Here is fender decode (courtesy of MyMopar) of the blue car:
DL: Dodge Polara
27: Convertible
L: 383 290HP 1-2BBL 8 CYL
0: 1970
D: Belvidere, IL, USA
151852: Sequence number
E61: 383 cid 2 barrel V8 290hp
D32: Heavy Duty Automatic Transmission
EB7: Medium Blue Metallic Exterior Color
L2B3: Trim - Low, Vinyl Bench Seat, Unknown Color
EB7: Medium Blue Metallic Int. Door Frames
B05: Build Date: November 05
018225: Order number
V3W: White Convertible Top
A01: Light Package
A04: Basic (Radio) Group
L31: Hood/Fender Mounted Turn Signals
M25: Wide sill moldings
M31: Belt Moldings
M85: Front & Rear Bumper Guards
R11: Radio Solid State AM (2 Watts)
V01: Mono Tone Paint Treatment
V5X: Body Side Stripes, Black
Y05 : Built To USA Specifications
END: End of Sales Codes
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